25% Price Cuts Coming for Multifamily, Commercial Real Estate

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q-RAvLVqUnY&list=PLGICvK0_T3hRGpC4lpymfnztzGCooRWZW&index=2   Multifamily and commercial real estate has been the butt of the joke over the past year. As mortgage rates started to rise, commercial real estate investors were hit hard, as profits became pitiful and asking prices laughable. For months, the media has been predicting a commercial real estate crash, citing a wave of mortgages coming due with sellers who won’t be able to pay the high price of a refinance. And while these fundamentals aren’t wrong, a mortgage meltdown might not be a reality. So instead of speculating, we brought on Richard Hill, Head of Real Estate Strategy & Research at Cohen & Steers, to differentiate the facts from fiction. Richard knows that loans are coming due, and buyers with low-rate adjustable mortgages may be in trouble. But that’s not the whole story, and some parts of commercial real estate could be primed for massive growth that residential investors have no clue about. The opportunities could be flowing soon for those who know where to look. In this episode, Richard will talk about the true risk of commercial real estate mortgages, which sectors are in the most trouble, which are being blown out of proportion, and how much investors can expect prices to drop. Plus, Richard gives his take on the three best times to invest in a quickly changing market like we’re seeing today. ~~~~ Join BiggerPockets for FREE 👇 https://www.biggerpockets.com/signup?… ~~~~ Listen to The “On The Market” Podcast Wherever You Listen to Podcasts: BiggerPockets: https://www.biggerpockets.com/podcast… Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast… Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/2NlzZ9N… ~~~~ Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise: https://www.fundrise.com/bpmarket ~~~~ Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area: http://biggerpockets.com/agentmatch ~~~~ Find Investor-Friendly Lenders: http://biggerpockets.com/lendermatch ~~~~ Commercial Real Estate Could Crash, But Are Everyday Investors Impacted? https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/re… ~~~~ The BIG Economic Implications of US Bank Failures: https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on… ~~~~ Get Real Estate Market Insights from Cohen & Steers: https://www.cohenandsteers.com/insigh… ~~~~ Connect with Dave and Our Panel of Guests: Dave Meyer: https://www.biggerpockets.com/users/d… Henry Washington: https://www.biggerpockets.com/users/h… James Dainard: https://www.biggerpockets.com/users/j… Jamil Damji: https://www.biggerpockets.com/users/j… Kathy Fettke: https://www.biggerpockets.com/users/k… ~~~~ Follow Dave and Our Guests on Instagram: Dave: @thedatadeli or https://www.instagram.com/thedatadeli/ Henry: @thehenrywashington or https://www.instagram.com/thehenrywas… James: @jdainflips or https://www.instagram.com/jdainflips/ Jamil: @jdamji or https://www.instagram.com/jdamji/ Kathy: @kathyfettke or https://www.instagram.com/kathyfettke/ BiggerPockets: @biggerpockets or https://www.instagram.com/biggerpockets/ Show notes at: https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on… 00:00 Intro 04:31 Welcome Rich Hill! 06:37 A Commercial Meltdown? 15:36 A “Wall of Maturities” Coming Due? 22:22 Banks Cut Off Commercial Investments 29:51 What REITs Know That Investors Don’t 32:29 The REAL Mortgage Exposure 41:16 Opportunity is Here 44:25 Connect with Rich! 47:36 Time to Get In?